Spurs vs Thunder Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for Game 1
yahoo -

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.

In possibly the most highly anticipated series of the 2026 NBA Playoffs, the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder kick off the Western Conference Final tonight.

To get you ready for the action, our computers have been working overtime to bring you the best NBA player prop projections.

It's all part of our full Spurs vs. Thunder predictions and NBA picks for Monday, May 18.

Spurs vs Thunder computer picks for Game 1
Spurs Thunder
Fox o16.5 points
+100
Hartenstein o7.5 points
-110
Vassell o11.5 points
-112
Dort o5.5 points
-130
Wembanyama o1.5 threes
-110
Gilgeous-Alexander u6.5 assists
-105
Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365's early win payout!

Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!

Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365's offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review!

Sign Up Now atimg src="https://img.covers.com/betting/sportsbooks/2/bet365.svg" alt="bet365" width="100" height="28" style="vertical-align: middle;"

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Spurs Game 1 computer picksDe'Aaron Fox Over 16.5 points (+100)

Projection: 17.61 points

Some books have De'Aaron Fox's scoring line listed at 15.5, but we're getting even money on him clearing 16.5 at bet365. Either way, Fox is projected to go Over the number as he's expected to flirt with 18 points tonight.

The San Antonio Spurs guard has 16+ points in nine of his last 10, and is averaging 21.6 points per game over his last five road games.

span style="font-size: 14px;"🔥/span spanBet fox Now at bet365!/span

Devin Vassell Over 11.5 points (-112)

Projection: 12.84 points

While Devin Vassell has only gone Over 11.5 points in five of his last 10 games, he fared better against the Timberwolves than the Trail Blazers, topping this number in four of six.

The Spurs have the highest-scoring offense on the road over the last 25 away games, and all hands will need to be on deck against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

span style="font-size: 14px;"🔥/span spanBet Vassell Now at bet365!/span

Victor Wembanyama Over 1.5 made threes (-110)

Projection: 2.01 made threes

Victor Wembanyama didn't take a ton of shots from deep against the Trail Blazers, but he hit 2+ threes in three of his six games against the Timberwolves.

When it comes to treys, the Spurs' remarkable 37.5% rate of converted threes when playing on the road settles in as the fifth-highest in the league over the last 20 games.

span style="font-size: 14px;"🔥/span spanBet Wembanyama Now at bet365!/span


Thunder Game 1 computer picksIsaiah Hartenstein Over 7.5 points (Odds)

Projection: 9.53 points

Despite coming up short in the series-clincher vs. the Lakers, Isaiah Hartenstein has topped 7.5 points in eight of 10, including eight straight before the last game.

The Thunder will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the fifth-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last five games.

Projections are generally bullish on Hartenstein, expecting him to also go Over his 8.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists line.

span style="font-size: 14px;"🔥/span spanBet Hartenstein Now at bet365!/span

Lu Dort Over 5.5 points (-130)

Projection: 7.33 points

This is such a low number, and while Lu Dort has missed it on occasion, he's still nabbed at least six points in seven of his last 10 games.

Similar to Hartenstein, the Thunder are expected to distribute scoring in a tougher matchup, looking for contributions up and down the roster against San Antonio.

span style="font-size: 14px;"🔥/span spanBet Dort Now at bet365!/span

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 assists (-105)

Projection: 6.03 assists

This may be a bit of a sweat, especially as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has finished north of 6.5 assists in eight of his last 10.

But this is a massive step up in competition, and the Thunder's fifth-worst offensive rebounding offense may be exposed by the Spurs, while SGA becomes more of a scorer than a facilitator.

In four games against the Spurs this season, SGA finished with fewer than seven assists three times.

span style="font-size: 14px;"🔥/span spanBet XYZ Now at bet365!/span

How to watch Spurs vs Thunder Game 1
LocationPaycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
DateMonday, May 18, 2026
Tip-off8:30 p.m. ET
TVNBC

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.



read more